IS THE PROPORTION OF MATRICULANTS WITH POST-MATRIC QUALIFICATIONS DECLINING?
1. The importance of avoiding faulty analysis
2. A more detailed account of post-school education since 1970
Table 1 - Population reporting post-school education (PSET), 1970 to 2016 |
||
Population |
Growth rate |
|
1970 |
323 512 |
|
1980 |
697 730 |
8,0% |
1985 |
966 930 |
6,7% |
1991 |
1 141 478 |
2,8% |
1996 |
1 434 508 |
4,7% |
2001 |
2 139 785 |
8,3% |
2006 |
3 493 508 |
8,5% |
2011 |
4 139 876 |
4,3% |
2016 |
4 368 497 |
1,1% |
Table 1 - Post-school qualifications |
|||||
1970 |
1980 |
1985 |
1991 |
1996 |
|
15-19 |
4575 |
5618 |
11190 |
8545 |
13435 |
20-24 |
47752 |
95684 |
123148 |
132847 |
161503 |
25-29 |
62068 |
140575 |
190278 |
218456 |
271510 |
30-34 |
50290 |
124038 |
165976 |
211317 |
262371 |
35-39 |
38435 |
100317 |
140427 |
169739 |
230337 |
40-44 |
33442 |
73597 |
108795 |
132981 |
172313 |
45-49 |
29263 |
53315 |
81438 |
103811 |
122704 |
50-54 |
22713 |
43697 |
59807 |
75370 |
88651 |
55-59 |
19065 |
35729 |
48088 |
52091 |
64360 |
60-64 |
15909 |
25158 |
37783 |
36321 |
47322 |
Total |
323512 |
697730 |
966930 |
1141478 |
1434508 |
Annual growth: 15-64 |
8,0% |
6,7% |
2,8% |
4,7% |
|
Annual growth: 35-39 |
10,1% |
3,4% |
1,9% |
3,1% |
Table 1 continued |
2001 |
2007 |
2011 |
2016 |
15-19 |
39296 |
89035 |
66255 |
33721 |
20-24 |
277998 |
495170 |
465118 |
413685 |
25-29 |
401348 |
565205 |
736853 |
720232 |
30-34 |
379077 |
575053 |
677062 |
660858 |
35-39 |
314535 |
526490 |
586155 |
595398 |
40-44 |
254346 |
407921 |
495620 |
527114 |
45-49 |
183647 |
322129 |
392939 |
492624 |
50-54 |
129249 |
231584 |
322103 |
386581 |
55-59 |
93745 |
163747 |
236651 |
317726 |
60-64 |
66545 |
117175 |
161120 |
220558 |
Total |
2139785 |
3493508 |
4139876 |
4368497 |
Annual growth: 15-64 |
8,3% |
8,5% |
4,3% |
1,1% |
Annual growth: 35-39 |
3,2% |
5,3% |
1,1% |
0,2% |