Demography and Youth

Lindela And South Africa’s Defective Deportation Regime
Tove van Lennep
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Nov 15, 2019

What is going on at the Bosasa-run Lindela Repatriation Centre - South Africa's single specialised holding facility for irregular immigrants awaiting deportation? This brief investigates the country's notorious deportation regime and its custodians – the South African Police Service, the Department of Home Affairs and Bosasa.

Migration IV: The state of South Africa’s borders
Tove van Lennep
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Sep 18, 2019

South Africa’s borders require serious attention to counter irregular migration, illicit trade and incumbered movement. The Department of Home Affairs’ intended solutions are deficient.

Should The National Development Plan Be Revised?
Charles Simkins
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Feb 05, 2019

National Development Plans are revised periodically, often at five year intervals. Although our 'National Development Plan 2030' (NDP) was launched in 2012, it has not been revised. This brief shows that the illusion that the goals of the NDP are achievable cannot be sustained for a minute. A rethink is due.

The State Of The South African Refugee Protection Regime: Part I - Current Status
Tove van Lennep
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Oct 30, 2018

Once applauded by UNHCR’s Antonio Guterres as ‘one of the most advanced and progressive systems of refugee protection in the world’, the South African refugee regime has deteriorated beyond recognition.This brief - the first in a three-part series - explores the state of protection and what it means for asylum-seekers within our borders.

Free Basic Services At The Municipal Level
Rafael Friedman
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Feb 13, 2018

On 30 September 2017, South African municipalities were collectively owed R143.6 billion by consumers, according to the latest National Treasury report on municipal finances. R101.6 billion of this amount was household debt. If consumer debt is limited to below 90 days, then the actual realistically collectable amount is estimated at R22.9 billion.

STAYING AT HOME AND LEAVING II - DETERMINANTS
Charles Simkins
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May 30, 2017

The preceding brief constructed and tested an indicator of whether a young person stays at home or has left it. This brief considers the reasons for leaving home and their impact. Some of the argument in this brief is quite technical. Readers uninterested in technique are advised to read only the introduction and the summary and conclusions.

STAYING AT HOME AND LEAVING I - MEASUREMENT
Charles Simkins
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May 30, 2017

Leaving home is one of the transitions made by young people. This brief constructs an indicator of whether a person has left home from information in the 2015 General Household Survey and sets out what the indicator reveals.

Youth Migration
Charles Simkins
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Apr 20, 2017

This is a brief specifically focusing on the movement of youth and it uses the same methods as two published briefs on migration among the population as a whole.

What Does The 2016 Community Survey Tell Us About Internal Migration?
Charles Simkins
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Apr 12, 2017

This is the second of two briefs considering contemporary evidence on movement of the population between mid-2011 and mid-2016. The first brief dealt with immigration and emigration of the foreign born. This brief considers movement between municipalities within South Africa, preceded by a summary of the findings of the two briefs together.

How fast is the South African population growing?
Charles Simkins
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Apr 04, 2017

This brief considers the differing population growth estimates from international and domestic sources for the periods between 1990 and 2015 and makes observations about the changes in the age distribution of the population.

Zimbabwe I - Demography & Economy
Charles Simkins
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This, the first of two briefs examining the prospects for Zimbabwe following the presidential succession, will consider the demographic and economic context. The second brief will discuss the political implications.